NVDA
conservativeNVIDIA CORP · NASDAQ
Snapshot taken 2 hours ago (Aug 3, 2026, 12:25 PM ET). Stored, not recomputed — prices are as of that moment. Open in the app ↗
Analysis AI · anthropic:claude-sonnet-5run Jul 23, 2026, 5:59 AM ET
NVIDIA continues to post record Data Center revenue and expanding product roadmap (Vera Rubin, Blackwell, Dynamo) that supports a bullish medium-term technical trend, but the fundamentals snapshot provided shows a quarterly revenue figure ($26.9B) that is inconsistent with the Q1 FY27 press release ($75.2B), creating a data-quality caveat. Valuation is extremely rich versus the fundamentals provided (market cap ~$5.14T vs. limited disclosed cash/debt detail), so the base case is a continuation of the uptrend contingent on sustained data-center demand, with dilution/liquidity risk low but valuation and execution risk elevated given the magnitude of expectations embedded in price.
- Overall
- 40/100
- Confidence
- 45/100
Catalysts
- ▲ Record Q1 FY27 Data Center revenue of $75.2B, up 92% YoY, driven by Blackwell ramp (NVDA:2026-05-20:commercial_launch:1b3d366f)
- ▲ Vera Rubin platform announcement including Vera CPU and BlueField-4 STX for agentic AI infrastructure (NVDA:2026-05-20:strategic_partnership:725f5760)
- ▲ NVIDIA Dynamo 1.0 entered production, boosting inference throughput on Blackwell GPUs (NVDA:2026-05-20:commercial_launch:1b3d366f)
- ▲ Edge Computing revenue $6.4B, up 10% QoQ, with DLSS 4.5/DLSS 5 previewed as major graphics breakthrough (NVDA:2026-05-20:strategic_partnership:14a9f6db)
- ▲ Prior quarter (Q2 FY26) showed broad enterprise adoption of RTX PRO 6000 Blackwell servers by Disney, Foxconn, Hitachi, Hyundai, Lilly, SAP, TSMC (NVDA:2025-08-27:strategic_partnership:5729f47c)
- ▲ Gaming/AI PC segment growth with GeForce RTX 5060 fastest-ramping x60 GPU ever (NVDA:2025-08-27:strategic_partnership:6022268b)
Risks
- ▼ Fundamentals feed shows quarterly revenue of $26.914B, which is materially inconsistent with the $75.2B figure disclosed in the Q1 FY27 press release evidence, indicating a data reconciliation issue or that the fundamentals snapshot reflects a different/partial period (fund:NVDA:2026-07-23T09:58:34.040Z vs NVDA:2026-05-20:commercial_launch:1b3d366f)
- ▼ Extreme valuation: market cap ~$5.14T against disclosed cash of $13.2B and debt of $8.47B, implying priced-in expectations for sustained hyper-growth (fund:NVDA:2026-07-23T09:58:34.040Z)
- ▼ Wide bid-ask spread in market snapshot (bid 212.42 / ask 230) suggests delayed/illiquid quote conditions or data artifact, reducing confidence in real-time pricing precision (mkt:NVDA:2026-07-23T09:58:34.227Z)
- ▼ No evidence provided on margins, operating income, guidance, competitive dynamics (e.g., China export restrictions, AMD/custom silicon competition), or forward estimates -- limiting ability to validate sustainability of growth
- ▼ Technical indicators show bullish trend but momentum(60) has decelerated to ~2% versus momentum(20) ~6% and momentum(120) ~11%, suggesting potential short-term consolidation (tech:NVDA:2026-07-22T04:00:00Z)
Scenarios
Bull 30% · Base 45% · Bear 25%
Bull Vera Rubin platform ramps ahead of schedule and drives another leg of Data Center revenue growth similar to Blackwell (NVDA:2026-05-20:strategic_partnership:725f5760)
Bear The discrepancy between the $26.914B fundamentals revenue figure and the $75.2B press-release figure signals potential reporting confusion, restatement risk, or that current-quarter results (not yet reflected in evidence) show a sharp deceleration (fund:NVDA:2026-07-23T09:58:34.040Z vs NVDA:2026-05-20:commercial_launch:1b3d366f)
Missing data
Reconciliation of fundamentals feed revenue ($26.914B) against Q1 FY27 press release revenue ($75.2B) -- unclear which period/segment this represents · Operating margin, net income, and EPS figures · Forward guidance / analyst consensus estimates · Details on China export restrictions or geopolitical/regulatory risk · Share buyback or dilution program details (stock-based comp, options issuance) · Institutional ownership and short interest data · Segment-level breakdown for the most recent quarter beyond Q1 FY27 highlights · Explicit analyst price targets or sell-side commentary
Technical
- Trend
- bullish
- Tech score
- 59/100
- RSI(14)
- 53.4
- SMA 20/50/200
- 203.89 / 205.78 / 193.06
- MACD
- -1.274
- ATR(14)
- 7.64
- Rel volume
- 0.47
- Avg $ volume
- $992.9M
- Momentum 20/60/120d
- 5.9% / -0.2% / 9.2%
- From 52w high
- -12.4%
- Golden cross
- yes
- Volatility
- normal
Fundamentals SEC
- Market cap
- $5014.97B
- Shares outstanding
- 24,200,000,000
- Public float
- 4,000,000,000,000
- Revenue
- $26.91B
- Revenue growth
- 61.4%
- Cash
- $13.24B
- Debt
- $8.47B
- Runway
- —
Sources 10
- NVIDIA Corp. (NVDA) Price Forecast: Can NVDA Break Above Key Resistance?
- Stephanie Link loads up on NVDA, MU: 'Nvidia will always dominate the GPU market'
- Why DeepSeek’s Chip Push Doesn’t Spell Trouble for Nvidia Corp (NVDA)
- Nvidia Starts H200 AI Chip Shipments to China as US Approves Limited Exports
- Dan Ives Says NVDA's Recent Underperformance Is A Bump Than Anything Else — 'There's One Chip In The World Fueling The AI Revolution'
- Jim Cramer Was Left Perplexed By NVIDIA Corp. (NVDA)’s Shares
- Bank of America Affirms Why NVIDIA Corp. (NVDA) is a Top AI Stock on Wall Street Radar
-
SEC exhibit Open ↗8-K — NVIDIA CORP (NVDA) (CIK 0001045810)
- ▲ commercial launch
Highlights Data Center • First-quarter revenue was a record $75.2 billion, up 21% from the previous quarter and up 92% from a year ago. • Announced the NVIDIA Vera Rubin platform, including the NVIDIA Vera CPU, the world's first processor p
- ▲ strategic partnership
Highlights Data Center • First-quarter revenue was a record $75.2 billion, up 21% from the previous quarter and up 92% from a year ago. • Announced the NVIDIA Vera Rubin platform, including the NVIDIA Vera CPU, the world's first processor p
- ▲ strategic partnership
Edge Computing • First-quarter Edge Computing revenue was $6.4 billion, up 10% from the previous quarter and up 29% from a year ago. • Released NVIDIA DLSS 4.5 Dynamic Multi Frame Generation and previewed the next generation of DLSS 3D-guid
- ▲ commercial launch
- NVIDIA's 'five-layer cake' strategy: Why your next car will be powered by AI
-
SEC exhibit Open ↗8-K — NVIDIA CORP (NVDA) (CIK 0001045810)
- ▲ strategic partnership
Highlights NVIDIA achieved progress since its first quarter earnings announcement in these areas: Data Center • Second-quarter revenue was $41.1 billion, up 5% from the previous quarter and up 56% from a year ago. • Announced that the NVIDI
- ▲ strategic partnership
Gaming and AI PC • Second-quarter Gaming revenue was $4.3 billion, up 14% from the previous quarter and up 49% from a year ago. • Launched the Blackwell-powered NVIDIA GeForce RTX™ 5060, which quickly became NVIDIA's fastest-ramping x60-cla
- ▲ strategic partnership
Professional Visualization • Second-quarter revenue was $601 million, up 18% from the previous quarter and up 32% from a year ago. • Announced NVIDIA RTX PRO 4000 SFF Edition and RTX PRO 2000 Blackwell GPUs. • Expanded partnership with Siem
- ▲ strategic partnership
Prices from iex (delayed). Fundamentals from SEC EDGAR. Indicators computed locally. First covered Aug 3, 2026, 12:24 PM ET.